An opinion poll conducted by TV channel ABP News and AC Nielsen projected that the NDA led by Narendra Modi could be the majority winner in the 2014 elections of Lok Sabha. The poll predicted NDA to win 236 seats of the total 543 which is just 36 seats short of the majority mark. BJP alone is predicted to win 217 seats giving it a comfortable lead.
The current UPA government could win just 92 seats with the Congress winning a mere 73 seats which would be its worst performance ever according to the poll. The Left Front is expected to do better than in 2009 by winning 29 seats and the rest of 186 are predicted to be won by ‘others’ like Trinamool Congress with 29 seats, AIADMK with 19 seats, BJD with 16 seats, BSP with 13 seats and DMK with 13 seats.
NDA’s dominance is mostly predicted in the north region and west side of India. The alliance is projected to win 88 seats in each of the regions and the UPA is predicted to win 23 in the north and 22 in the west.
On the south side, the NDA does not have a lead where its tally is predicted to win 21 of the region’s 134 seats and the UPA is predicted to win just 26. The rest of 72 seats would go to ‘others’ like TRS, TDP, YSR Congress, DMK, AIADMK and JD(S). Left may be able to bag 15 seats from the south.
In the east ‘others’ like TMC, BJD,JD(U), RJD, LJP and some smaller parties in Jharkhand, Assam and northeast will be the dominant force by winning 68 of the 142 seats. NDA can win 39 seats from the region, while the UPA can win 21 and Left can win 14.
Of the respondents, 57% of wanted Modi as PM while 17% picked Rahul Gandhi with just 3% voting for Arvind Kejriwal.