According to downtoearth.org.in, the first cyclone of 2021 can be quite the destructive one. It is also predicted to be amongst the strongest cyclones to hit the West coast of India in the last two decades. The cyclone has been predicted to form at the Arabian sea on May 16, 2021. Rapid intensification has been predicted so far. In that case, further predictions might be a bit more difficult than the normal ones.
Latest update on the Tauktae:
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has reported that there has been a low depression in the South-Eastern Arabian Sea near the Lakshadeep on Thursday morning, May 13, 2021. The cyclone now lies 360 kilometers west-southwest of Kannur, Kerala. It is likely to intensify by Friday evening, May 14, 2021, and take the form of a cyclone by Saturday, May 15, 2021. The cyclone will first turn into a north-northeastward direction and then to a north-northwestward direction facing the Gujrat coast. The cyclone is expected to reach the coast of Gujrat by Tuesday morning, May 18, 2021. The final speed is yet to be predicted. The predictions by the weather agency till now say that the speed will be up to 160 km per hour by Sunday evening, May 16, 2021. Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, and Maharashtra are expected to face heavy rain from May 14, 2021, onwards due to the formation of the cyclone.
Predictions by international agencies:
The predictions made by the United States National Centers for Environmental Prediction show that the depression has already formed, and the formation of the cyclone will be on Friday evening, May 14, 2021. This prediction does not match the IMD and shows that the cyclone will hit earlier than predicted by the Indian department. IBM’s “The Weather Channel” has also shown the details to be much ahead of the predictions made by the IMD. The IMD, on the other hand, is sticking with its own predictions and has warned that the Gujrat and Pakistan coasts will face the cyclone directly. Mumbai and Karachi, two highly populated megapolises, are thoroughly warned against the cyclone since it will cause havoc damage. The question now is how much damage will be caused, and the answer remains to be witnessed on the day of the cyclone. Let us hope that the already devasted people facing a huge and destructive pandemic do not have to face even more loss due to a very high-speed cyclone.